Peter Sloot on the (un-)predictability of Earth Quakes
With the terrible disaster in Nepal in mind new debates on the predictability of Earthquakes show up everywhere, also in The Netherlands. Last year Peter Sloot, together with a group of researchers from Taiwan and Singapore, published a novel way to model earthquakes using non-linear dynamics concepts from Complex Systems theory and showed that for the Taiwan earthquakes in the 90's the event horizon of prediction comes close to three months. Some geophysicists call this a quackery, but many are willing to explore the way Peter Sloot did it. He is sure this will not be the final word on short term prediction and hopes this may have opened up the discussion on novel ways to look into this important topic again.